TLT - （iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF）

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which we can informally refer to as TLT, has an unusual relation to bonds that investors need to understand. I am bearish on TLT shares because the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is about to make some important announcements tomorrow. Most likely, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is going to set a hawkish tone, which is bullish for bond yields but could cause price damage to TLT. TLT straddles the realms of stocks and bonds, as it''s an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that has characteristics of both asset classes.

Institutions, Retail Investors Flood Back Into Stocks After Best Week In Months; Target FAAMG, Chinese Stocks Maybe they got tired with sitting on their hands (and the proverbial "sidelines") or have run out of stocks to sell (or short), but for whatever reason last week, when the S&P 500 soared +4.7%, its best week since June, both institutional and retail investors flooded back into the market at near record amounts. According to Bank of America''s weekly Equity Client Flow Trend report (available to pro subs ), clients were net buyers of US equities for the sixth straight week, with inflows into both stocks and ETFs. Buying was led by hedge fund clients; private clients were also buyers (for the fourth straight week). On the other end, institutional clients sold equities after buying for two weeks. Some more details: over the last three weeks, inflows into single stocks (as a % of S&P 500 mkt. cap) were in the 99th percentile of history since ’08 and two standard deviations above average , and still in the 92nd percentile excluding corp. client buybacks.

The Fed''s Strong Dollar Policy: A Recipe For Systemic Implosion Authored by Mathew Piepenburg via GoldSwitzerland.com, From Main Street USA to the village corners and central banks of Europe, Japan and elsewhere, the Fed’s strong USD policy is backfiring—big time. Just ask the Brits… Having spent years creating the inflation (QE1 to unlimited QE, Repo bailouts, massive money supply expansion, and an historical wealth transfer from an inflated, Fed-driven stock market), the Fed will be cleaning up its own inflation mess on the backs of the U.S. working class and its other global “allies” while blaming the CPI inflation on Putin, Covid and climate change. How’s that for rigged to fail ? But that’s just the beginning, and it’s not just about the USA. Engineering a Recession Powell Can’t Control By raising rates into what we all know is a recession , Powell, who delusionaly pretends to be Volcker re-born, wants to solve the inflation he helped create by engineering a demand-crippling recession which he thinks he can control, but can’t and won’t.

This option trade will earn a full profit if yields fall or stay constant.

The US equity market dropped to new local lows and below key support in late trading after Fedex reported a massive miss on profits and dropped its year-ahead-forecast, citing a marked deterioration in activity over the last quarter. Elsewhere, the US dollar rose, USDCNH traded well above 7.00 and US yields remained pinned near the cycle highs after a strong weekly jobless claims report but tepid August Retail Sales data. What is our trading focus? Nasdaq 100 (USNAS100.I) and S&P 500 (US500.I) US equities tried to tread water during the cash session yesterday but spilled lower and below the key local support (3,900 area in S&P 500 and 12,000 area in the Nasdaq 100) in late trading after Fedex reported a huge profit miss and dropped its forward revenue forecast (more below). The break below support sets the market on tilt on the quarterly “witching” day for index futures and options today. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HSIU2) and China’s CSI300 (03188:xhkg) Hang Seng Index fell 1% in early trading on a weakening Chinese Yuan, USDCNH surging to as high as 7.0350, but pared some losses to be down around half a per cent after the stronger than expected prints of China’s August industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which we can informally refer to as TLT, has an unusual relation to bonds that investors need to understand. I am bearish on TLT shares because the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is about to make some important announcements tomorrow. Most likely, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is going to set a hawkish tone, which is bullish for bond yields but could cause price damage to TLT. TLT straddles the realms of stocks and bonds, as it''s an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that has characteristics of both asset classes.

Institutions, Retail Investors Flood Back Into Stocks After Best Week In Months; Target FAAMG, Chinese Stocks Maybe they got tired with sitting on their hands (and the proverbial "sidelines") or have run out of stocks to sell (or short), but for whatever reason last week, when the S&P 500 soared +4.7%, its best week since June, both institutional and retail investors flooded back into the market at near record amounts. According to Bank of America''s weekly Equity Client Flow Trend report (available to pro subs ), clients were net buyers of US equities for the sixth straight week, with inflows into both stocks and ETFs. Buying was led by hedge fund clients; private clients were also buyers (for the fourth straight week). On the other end, institutional clients sold equities after buying for two weeks. Some more details: over the last three weeks, inflows into single stocks (as a % of S&P 500 mkt. cap) were in the 99th percentile of history since ’08 and two standard deviations above average , and still in the 92nd percentile excluding corp. client buybacks.

The Fed''s Strong Dollar Policy: A Recipe For Systemic Implosion Authored by Mathew Piepenburg via GoldSwitzerland.com, From Main Street USA to the village corners and central banks of Europe, Japan and elsewhere, the Fed’s strong USD policy is backfiring—big time. Just ask the Brits… Having spent years creating the inflation (QE1 to unlimited QE, Repo bailouts, massive money supply expansion, and an historical wealth transfer from an inflated, Fed-driven stock market), the Fed will be cleaning up its own inflation mess on the backs of the U.S. working class and its other global “allies” while blaming the CPI inflation on Putin, Covid and climate change. How’s that for rigged to fail ? But that’s just the beginning, and it’s not just about the USA. Engineering a Recession Powell Can’t Control By raising rates into what we all know is a recession , Powell, who delusionaly pretends to be Volcker re-born, wants to solve the inflation he helped create by engineering a demand-crippling recession which he thinks he can control, but can’t and won’t.

This option trade will earn a full profit if yields fall or stay constant.

The US equity market dropped to new local lows and below key support in late trading after Fedex reported a massive miss on profits and dropped its year-ahead-forecast, citing a marked deterioration in activity over the last quarter. Elsewhere, the US dollar rose, USDCNH traded well above 7.00 and US yields remained pinned near the cycle highs after a strong weekly jobless claims report but tepid August Retail Sales data. What is our trading focus? Nasdaq 100 (USNAS100.I) and S&P 500 (US500.I) US equities tried to tread water during the cash session yesterday but spilled lower and below the key local support (3,900 area in S&P 500 and 12,000 area in the Nasdaq 100) in late trading after Fedex reported a huge profit miss and dropped its forward revenue forecast (more below). The break below support sets the market on tilt on the quarterly “witching” day for index futures and options today. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HSIU2) and China’s CSI300 (03188:xhkg) Hang Seng Index fell 1% in early trading on a weakening Chinese Yuan, USDCNH surging to as high as 7.0350, but pared some losses to be down around half a per cent after the stronger than expected prints of China’s August industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment.

On May 20, the S&P 500 briefly crossed into bear market territory. That’s what Wall Street calls it when a stock registers a 20% drop from its highs. Investors are trying to come to terms with the new realities that come with a bear market. After a very long bullish run, the transition won’t likely be smooth. Short term the sellers have control, so they are selling rallies. Therefore, it is important that we structure portfolios that take that into account. Below are seven stocks to buy that would work in a bear market as well as a strong one. Friday ended on a strong note, but that followed six weeks of tough luck for the bulls. One strong week doesn’t necessarily mean the correction is over. In the long run, arguably the bulls are still in charge. But they have shown relative weakness of late casting doubt over that fact. The hawkish efforts from the U.S. Federal Reserve will take a toll on the economy. Unless they change monetary course again, chances are businesses will have a headwind. 7 Tech Stocks to Buy That Pay Solid Dividends In theory, this should bring about more bearish opportunities than bullish ones.

Wall Street often overshoots, so investors should know these ETFs to avoid. ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ( TBT ): The Fed’s hawkish rhetoric is not permanent. Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund ( XLE ): The theme is long in the tooth. Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ( XLF ): Could be collateral damage in the war on inflation. Source: shutterstock.com/bangoland Today’s picks of ETFs to avoid is likely going to upset a few readers. Just know that this is a price action thing, not an emotional list. The current state of the equity market is in shambles because of outside factors. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish rhetoric and the war in the Ukraine are the prime reasons for fear. Even Bitcoin is crashing. However, the price action in all sectors is coming along proper chart technical paths. Nothing has yet gone rogue from that perspective. Eventually this too shall pass, and investors should be doing homework now. Part of it is finding potential pitfalls like in these ETFs to avoid. Those opinions may turn out to be nothing, but it doesn’t hurt to be overly cautious.

Markets are a bit nervous to start the week as the steep acceleration higher in US treasury yields continued in the Asian session overnight. Even a casual inspection of prior market regimes shows that a steep back-up in yields at some point will prove dangerous for equity valuations. The 5-year US Treasury yield has vaulted above the 30-year for the first time since 2006. Elsewhere, oil is several dollars lower on hopes for a peace deal in Ukraine. What is our trading focus? Nasdaq 100 (USNAS100.I) and S&P 500 (US500.I) - S&P 500 futures closed on Friday just around the 100-day moving average which were breached twice in February without extending the gains so this time will be more critical. S&P 500 futures are rolling over a bit this morning trading around the 4,518 level with the 200-day moving average around 4,471 being the gravitational point should risk-off come into the market. The key risks for US equities are the rapidly rising US interest rates and headlines coming out of the war in Ukraine.

Related Stocks: TLT , XLRE , IWD , IEF , STLD , SJM , IEI , XLV , IWS , HRL , CPB , VRSK , EFA , FALN , BSCL , VCSH , USHY , SHY ,

ARKK Traded $4.5 Billion Worth Of Shares On Monday Monday likely marked a much needed gasp of air for Cathie Wood and those holding her ARK Innovation Fund (ARKK). The fund, which is down 22% year to date according to Bloomberg , was able to finish the trading day on Monday up 2.82% at $73.54 per share after falling as low as $64.98, which marked a new 52 week low for the asset manager''s flagship fund. After being down as much as 9.1% during the intraday session, ARKK rebounded with the rest of the market starting at about noon eastern time and, by the close, had posted what felt like one of its few meaningfully positive green days in 2022 so far. Names like Shopify and Roku, which have been decimated over the last 2 months, helped ARKK''s turnaround, rising 6.4% and 3.4% respectively. Surprisingly, the fund''s biggest weighting, Tesla, still finished the day losing -1.47% and closing at $930 per share. Bloomberg ETF expert Eric Balchunas noted at the end of the cash session that the ETF had traded an "astonishing" $4.5 billion worth of shares, which was more than major ETFs like GLD, TLT and EEM.